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You must provide an email address to create a Roar accountLance Franklin’s 300th is one of a plethora of special occasions at the SCG this Saturday. The Hawks have dropped all three since shifting to Sydney with all losses coming by 32-plus. The Blues have covered four of the last five against Port with three straight wins. Geelong cover at just 41% when favoured by 10 or more points. The Eagles are 28-15 against the line when favoured by five goals.Fremantle has covered six of their last nine interstate trips and are 14-8 against the line at Marvel Stadium over the last eight seasons.Essendon are highly reliable plays as an underdog.

There was nothing pretty about their return draw with Colingwood, though that matchup is significantly more difficult than Hawthorn. AFL Live Pass is required to view AFL.TV & Match Replays. The Demons have covered just five of their last 18 in Victoria and went a poor 1-6 against the spread in 2019 when favoured by the market.Very keen on the Eagles now they are back playing in Perth.
He should inspire the Roos to victory and help them finish the year on a high.Sydney have a strong record against St Kilda as of late, and with Lance Franklin set to return for his 300th to help see off some of the club’s retiring stars, the Swans should finish the season off with a strong win. It’ll be close but I’m going with the yellow and black.Collingwood’s form is hard to judge right now, given their last three wins have come against some of the worst sides in the comp. They have now won three on the trot with all three wins coming by more than five goals. The Hawks have failed to cover their last five as an underdog. The Giants have been hit hard by injury. The Bulldogs have covered just two of their last 12 interstate games.
The Blues cover at 58% as an underdog and at 61% as an underdog in Melbourne. I didn’t buy much from their wins over Gold Coast and Melbourne (for obvious reasons) and, to be fair, the way Adelaide’s going this one might not mean much too.North Melbourne should emphatically put Melbourne out of their misery with a big win in Hobart, this one really doesn’t require further explanation.Saturday night’s West Coast and Hawthorn clash should be a good one; West Coast trying to secure a top four spot, Hawthorn hoping for a miracle to jump into finals. The Swans strike as tremendous value here.You account does not have sufficient permission to view this page.Carlton has covered the three meetings against the Tigers over the last two seasons and is a prime bet to cover the big number again with a win off the stick unsurprising over the defending premiers.Carlton have historically played Hawthorn well from a betting perspective with six covers in their last eight meetings and are playing in notably better form than a Hawthorn outfit that have put their most successful ever coach under pressure.Carlton are in a great spot as an underdog in Melbourne against the Demons. Aided by a catalogue of information provided in the previous AFL Betting Strategies articles, you have ...North Melbourne is 47-31 ATS as an underdog or more than a goal since 2012 and are perennially underrated by the market. The Blues cover at a stunning 61% in Victoria when an underdog. The Hawks have failed to cover their last five as an underdog. (AAP Image/David Moir)The Bulldogs are looking more dangerous every week and, despite the fact they aren’t even locked in for finals, plenty of footy fans have them down as the team to watch. The Tigers have won 17 of their last 18 at the MCG when favoured by more than two goals including six of their last seven. West Coast have a tremendous record against Collingwood with seven covers in the last 10 meetings, they are a standout play.Richmond have a horrendous record against North Melbourne and the thinking is history will repeat itself again here. Richmond have covered just nine of 19 at the MCG. When favoured by 10 or more points off a win the Saints have covered just 3 of 13. Geelong cover at just 41% when favoured by 10 or more points. There’s in-depth analysis, betting strategy and reasoning behind each of their selections.It is incredibly difficult to come into Hawthorn here as favourites.