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Additionally, the date of full Moon closest to the Taurid activity maxima is given. The worst coincidences are marked with ‘!’.Relying upon the outcomes of the most comprehensive data set of standardized visual observations accumulated in the VMDB, we have revealed a straightforward link between the Taurid swarm encounters and enhanced visual meteor rates exhibited by the shower. The Northern Taurid meteor shower will be active from 20 October to 10 December, producing its peak rate of meteors around 12 November. Therefore the aim of this paper is to verify if there exists a connection between the Taurid ‘swarm encounters’ and enhanced visual Taurid meteor activity.
The Earth passes through the Taurid stream in Jun/Jul and Oct/Nov but inJun/Jul the meteors come from the daytime side of the Earth. Mark Boslough and Peter Brown have hypothesized that 2019 will be a good year to check for a Taurid swarm that may even generate a concentration of daytime fireballs in June/July 2019. The years of heightened activity are shown to be unequivocally linked to the encounters of swarms of resonantly trapped particles in the Taurid meteoroid stream according to the model proposed by Asher & Clube. The results outline an apparent correlation of the activity of visual meteors and the fireball abundances with the mean-anomaly difference of the centre of a resonant swarm in the Taurid stream from the Earth-crossing location.
So after the Earthgoes around the Sun 61 times, and the swarm 18 times, the relativeconfiguration of Earth and swarm repeats.
While the annual activity level of the Taurid meteor shower in terms of zenithal hourly rate (ZHR) is 7.8 ± 1.2, swarm year activity typically reaches ZHRs of 12–17. For the analysis, however, only the total of the three columns is used. Example: there was a good swarmencounter in 1954; so there should be one in 2015. A typical annual profile is added for comparison and is shown by a solid line.Observational data for the Taurids between 1985 and 2005. In the bottom panel, arrows denote the years of resonant encounters; open circles denote the fireball proportion over the entire Taurid activity period; while full squares denote the fireball proportion over a reduced period around the shower maximum.We thank the referee Iwan Williams for his helpful comments and suggestions, which led us to improve the paper.This PDF is available to Subscribers OnlySummary of the Taurid meteor shower activity in 1985–2005. Therefore it isOct/Nov that is of interest to visual meteor watchers. It will be the closest that we have been to the center of the meteor swarm since 1975, and we won’t have an encounter this close again until 2032. 2015 observations (SPA) "Fireball Sightings" - Science@NASA feature by Dr Tony Phillips (2005) 2005 lunar Taurid N. Ireland astronomy bulletin (note on reported fireballs), 2005 Nov 3-10 mag fireball observed in 2008 Taurids (Majchrovic, Maruska & Piffl) Paper describing Taurid swarm model (Asher & Izumi) Years of enhanced activity coincide with the swarm years of the Taurid meteoroid stream and are indicated by arrows. An exact relationship between the encounter conditions and visual meteor rates has still to be established, though.Variations of the population index (top panel) and the proportion of fireballs (bottom panel) in the Taurid meteor shower versus year from visual observations. Future encounters are predicted for 2022, 2025, 2032 and 2039. Over this period, there will be a chance of seeing Northern Taurid meteors whenever the shower's radiant point – in the constellation Taurus – is above the horizon. The annual average is shown by a dashed line.Enhanced Taurid activity in terms of visual meteor and fireball rates has been found in 1988, 1991, 1995, 1998 and 2005 data. Our finding is supported by an analysis of the Taurid activity in terms of visual meteor rates and fireball proportions over a 20-year period. This is because theswarm orbital period happens to be close to 61/18 years. It furthers the University's objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education by publishing worldwideActivity profiles of the Taurid meteor shower for the years of resonant encounters.